SINDH WEATHER

The atmospheric conditions are rapidly fluctuating with time.After a long time,we might experience a series of super western depressions,which can produce unstable and unusual rain spells all over the Pakistan during Ramadan. First countrywide western disturbance is expected to hit Pakistan by next weekend (17/18th March to 20 March), giving much awaited drenching rains from Kashmir up to Karachi. Around 70-80% of Pakistan is expected to witness some rains of varying intensity. What makes it so intense and countrywide? Westerly jet is expected to move southwards, bringing western disturbances from gulf countries to Arabian sea first from where these weather systems gets immense moisture. In case,if these atmospheric conditions persist,get ready to witness unusual drenching weather (heavy rain/Thunderstorms associated with dust storms of 70-80knots and intense hailstorms) from Kashmir to Karachi . Date : 13-03-23. Time 10Pm Update #2 We named this wes...

A Western Disturbance (WD) started affecting Balochistan from Saturday, producing scattered to widespread Thunderstorms over there.Later as it was predicted, it started affecting Sindh from Sunday producing isolated thunderstorms from Sunday late night to Monday over many parts of Sindh. Especially Karachi receives most of the rainfall during the spell. Almost all parts of Sindh received meaningful rains from this system.Hyderabad also got late night heavy rain on Sunday late night and on Monday. Chief amounts of rainfall are given below:- Punjab:  Islamabad (Golra 44, Saidpur 39, IIAP 37, Bokra 31, Z.P 27), Murree 38, Rawalpindi (Chaklala 29, Shamsabad 28), Sialkot (A/P 24, City 20), Gujranwala 23, Gujrat 22, Lahore (A/P 20, City 16), Hafizabad 17, Jhelum 15, Okara, Sahiwal 14, M.B.Din 12, Mangla, Narowal 10, Bahawalpur (AP 09, city 08), Kasur 09, Kamra 08,  Khanpur 05, Bahawalnager, Faisalabad, T.T.Singh 03, Sargodha 02, Chakwal 01 , Khyber Pakhtunkhwa:  Malam...

After a longest dry period,a westerly wave with strong outlook has been expected to invade Pakistan from Sunday (night). Under its influence, Light to moderate rain with thunderstorm expected in Karachi on Monday (evening/night). However,dry weather will prevail elsewhere in province except few cities in upper sindh may also receive first winter rain during same period.

As we told you in our previous update about a most energetic western disturbance which is expected to enter from Sunday (night). Karachities, seems happy waiting for first winter rain but according to its scenario rain do always cause chaos to citizens.There is no any proper drainage system there. As of now,we are expecting a full - fledged thunderstorm arriving during evening hours which maybe enough of causing a mini flash flood. This post is for AWARENESS.KARACHITIES. OTHER MAJOR CITIES LIKE HYDERABAD REMAIN SILENT BECAUSE WE ARE NOT EXPECTING CONSIDERABLE RAIN THERE.

The first and most powerful western disturbance is expected to make its way towards the country and extend till coast causing winter thundershowers elsewhere. The rains and thunderstorms will strike Baluchistan from Sunday and continue with gaps & system will extend up to the coast causing thunderstorms in The city of lights Karachi from Monday. What's so special? This western disturbance is looking more energized to some extent in terms of its range & as it is not usual to have a countrywide WD during November mostly.But we have this year.So this might be something special this winter.

A Cyclonic Circulation that is presently at Central India,has brought very strong thunderstorms with heavy rains & what made it so strong? The deep convection within the circulation has enveloped major states of India including Telengana. Another Well marked low pressure is marked over Northeast India that will also boost rains over there in future. We have never seen, this type of convection in deep depression that had invaded Gujarat and Sindh during 2017 monsoon.

Global warming has increased chances of erratic weather patterns that would effect entire south Asia.To demonstrate,how it could be & why?: •Keep in mind,Global warming has increased rate of varying temperatures such as heatwaves & floods in result of rapid rate of glacier melt. Latest observations are hinting that worldwide sea temperatures are rising due to global warming per year so that we can reject by a possibility that by next 50-100years,monsoons could get more strength with hilarious and deadly heatwaves preceding monsoons.Floods could be triggered due to glacier melt and rise in sea level. Tropical weather could get more intensified,as due to rise in Arabian sea temperatures per year,Tropical cyclones could be potential in strength. Experts at Pak Weather Info,believes that in future,global warming can cause virulent weather patterns in Pakistan in future.

Karachi lies in the arid climate.Karachi lies in the coast and enjoys fresh sea breeze sometime during hot months such as may and June whereas other parts of Sindh remains under impact of deadly heatwave.Sometimes,due to some factors like tropical cyclone alters the direction of sea breeze causing a temporary heatwave there but April,May and June are considered as hottest months there.Karachi mainly receives less rains during the months of monsoon and the cause is inversion layer that surrounds the city during most time of years until any monsoonal low or weather disturbance I.e western disturbance breaks that inversion layer. There are two factors that alters the weather over Karachi. •Western disturbance •Tropical cyclones •Monsoon •Local heat convection •Western Disturbances:- Western disturbances are common to  invade the city during winter season and cause rain of varying intensity (depending upon conditions and intensity of western disturb...

After a long time,something interesting seems for upper sindh during next 24 hours,owing to a western disturbance over northern Pakistan,sending heavy pulses that have potential of causing 'dust-thunderstorm' at isolated places of upper sindh during next 24 hours. This is not a first time that any WD showing its affects on upper sindh however,upper sindh lies in WD zone so this is quite normal. Rainfall will be accompanied by thunderstorms (est: 2-3mms).

Since city has started receiving monsoon rains,owing to a cyclonic circulation that has caused intrusion of strong monsoon currents at lower levels there. Mumbai has got 103.2mm during 4 hours,as according to the time of India.Heavy rains and thunderstorm caused citizens to awaken from sleep. But this is not a end,more monsoon downpours could occur during next 24 to 48 hours.

Owing to a cyclonic circulation at northeast India,Mumbai has been witnessing heavy rains with thunderstorms because cyclonic circulation has increased monsoon currents over there. Overall there is no any effect of this system here in Sindh but this post is just for information purpose only. Presently,Mumbai vicinity has started getting thunderstorm with rain.

We all have heard two terms 'western disturbance' and 'monsoon'.But most from us don't know what they exactly are and how they both differ from each other. Monsoon is a seasonal reversal of winds occurring from June to September. Monsoon occurs for temporary period but is associated with wet summers however,dry winters.On the other hand,western disturbance is extra tropical disturbance/cyclone originating from Mediterranean sea & make its journey towards Pakistan after crossing Iran, and Afghanistan.Unlike monsoon,western disturbance moisture is carried in upper atmosphere & western jet help it to transport to another place,due to which WD have less or negligible convection.But don't be confused,WD in most cases have high convection that leads to flooding rains (usually during interaction with monsoon currents). Unlike,monsoon currents which are usually seen in low levels of atmosphere,WD are usually found in mid & upper levels,in rare cases can b...

The following is the rain amounts for different areas of Karachi,as follows: Source:Muhammad Taha Amerjee So far,Karachi had received above normal rains this year.More rains can lead to rising of rivers and lakes & flooding cannot be ruled out. However,most of our parameters are expecting torrential downpours again in Karachi from third week of September.

Karachi received exceptionally heavy rains from the system.However,major cities of Sindh disappointed from the system. This was just because of sudden variations in atmospheric conditions.Models just failed to keep our hopes alive ,as yesterday system was concentrated over Central sindh,instead of it,rains occurred in coastal parts including Karachi yesterday.This could be attributed to climate change. What's next? System is now as weak circulation & is weakening as remnants. But for now,it may cause little bit activity today in Karachi divisions,Thatta and Badin today. Happy Eid Mubarak

As told in last update,thundershowers could develop in lower Sindh (Hyderabad and Karachi divisions).So,chances are at peak right now. But rain intensity might be of varying intensity with amounts ranging between 10-20mm. Warning:-Any storm developing would be capable of causing periods of few heavy spells and as drainage system is worse in Hyderabad and Karachi, it might be flooding.So be careful.

As we all know about the intense monsoonal system (well marked low pressure) which is likely to affect south sindh from tomorrow and remains till Friday either till Saturday. Strong monsoonal currents with increased convection is expected to produce a thunderstorm in Hyderabad and Karachi both tomorrow esp during afternoon hours. Rain intensity may vary depending upon intensity of thunderstorms. Our estimates suggest about 10-20mm in Hyderabad and Karachi tomorrow. However,system will be at peak on Thursday,very heavy rains with severe thunderstorms & windstorms expected in both cities.Rainfall amounts would exceed 50mm on that day,might be more than our imagination. While,the total rain amounts may exceed even 100mm or 150mm.In that case,there will be very high potential for urban flooding. Stay safe and take care of your animals.Don't take them outside during storm.

Most of our analysis including upper and mid levels suggest very stormy weather patterns in Sindh due to a rain maker system (low pressure) at central India.It might hit coastal parts of Sindh on Thursday. Strong monsoon currents expected to penetrate at about 1500m above mean sea level during the period which could extend far 12km above msl causing formations of intense thunderstorms. More on it,a low level instability will trigger the system. Probably,it could be last considerable spell of monsoon for sindh but could be memorable. Fairly widespread Thunderstorms activity associated with heavy rains expected at a number of places of Sindh from Wednesday to Saturday. SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY: FOR SOME PARTS INCLUDING KARACHI, THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORM PEAKS MIGHT REACH 12,000-14,000m above msl ,which could produce very severe winds & thunder/lightning accompanied by moderate to heavy falls. MOST PARTS INCLUDING THATTA , BADIN ,HYDERABAD ARE UNDER RISK OF FLASH FLOOD...

The departure of MJO and some other factors are all set to make monsoon break condition over monsoon zones including Pakistan.Monsoon trough will start passing from foothills of Himalaya then,as of now. Before these conditions,weak spell of rain will hinder the increasing temperatures in Sindh esp southeastern sindh.However,it looks like this system is not for lower sindh. Most parts of lower sindh have got below normal rainfall yet. For more updates, stay tuned.

According to our previous update,strong pulses from low pressure system will affect southeastern sindh.So today,southeastern sindh got Thunderstorms associated with moderate to heavy falls. Now,Moderate pulses and western thrust interaction would occur on Wednesday that would produce good Thunderstorms with light to moderate rainfall in most parts of Lower Sindh (including Karachi and Hyderabad). Southeastern Sindh will receive Heavy falls during this period. For more updates stay tuned.

RAIN & THUNDERSTORMS LASHING SOUTHEASTERN SINDH (PARTS OF THARPARKAR). MANY MANY CONGRATULATIONS TO THEM. AS WE TOLD YOU THAT THERE ARE POOR CHANCES FOR HYDERABAD AND KARACHI AND IT HAPPENS.