SINDH WEATHER

After a longest dry period,a westerly wave with strong outlook has been expected to invade Pakistan from Sunday (night). Under its influence, Light to moderate rain with thunderstorm expected in Karachi on Monday (evening/night). However,dry weather will prevail elsewhere in province except few cities in upper sindh may also receive first winter rain during same period.

As we told you in our previous update about a most energetic western disturbance which is expected to enter from Sunday (night). Karachities, seems happy waiting for first winter rain but according to its scenario rain do always cause chaos to citizens.There is no any proper drainage system there. As of now,we are expecting a full - fledged thunderstorm arriving during evening hours which maybe enough of causing a mini flash flood. This post is for AWARENESS.KARACHITIES. OTHER MAJOR CITIES LIKE HYDERABAD REMAIN SILENT BECAUSE WE ARE NOT EXPECTING CONSIDERABLE RAIN THERE.

The first and most powerful western disturbance is expected to make its way towards the country and extend till coast causing winter thundershowers elsewhere. The rains and thunderstorms will strike Baluchistan from Sunday and continue with gaps & system will extend up to the coast causing thunderstorms in The city of lights Karachi from Monday. What's so special? This western disturbance is looking more energized to some extent in terms of its range & as it is not usual to have a countrywide WD during November mostly.But we have this year.So this might be something special this winter.

A Cyclonic Circulation that is presently at Central India,has brought very strong thunderstorms with heavy rains & what made it so strong? The deep convection within the circulation has enveloped major states of India including Telengana. Another Well marked low pressure is marked over Northeast India that will also boost rains over there in future. We have never seen, this type of convection in deep depression that had invaded Gujarat and Sindh during 2017 monsoon.

Global warming has increased chances of erratic weather patterns that would effect entire south Asia.To demonstrate,how it could be & why?: •Keep in mind,Global warming has increased rate of varying temperatures such as heatwaves & floods in result of rapid rate of glacier melt. Latest observations are hinting that worldwide sea temperatures are rising due to global warming per year so that we can reject by a possibility that by next 50-100years,monsoons could get more strength with hilarious and deadly heatwaves preceding monsoons.Floods could be triggered due to glacier melt and rise in sea level. Tropical weather could get more intensified,as due to rise in Arabian sea temperatures per year,Tropical cyclones could be potential in strength. Experts at Pak Weather Info,believes that in future,global warming can cause virulent weather patterns in Pakistan in future.

Karachi lies in the arid climate.Karachi lies in the coast and enjoys fresh sea breeze sometime during hot months such as may and June whereas other parts of Sindh remains under impact of deadly heatwave.Sometimes,due to some factors like tropical cyclone alters the direction of sea breeze causing a temporary heatwave there but April,May and June are considered as hottest months there.Karachi mainly receives less rains during the months of monsoon and the cause is inversion layer that surrounds the city during most time of years until any monsoonal low or weather disturbance I.e western disturbance breaks that inversion layer. There are two factors that alters the weather over Karachi. •Western disturbance •Tropical cyclones •Monsoon •Local heat convection •Western Disturbances:- Western disturbances are common to  invade the city during winter season and cause rain of varying intensity (depending upon conditions and intensity of western disturbance).They occur rarely during Apr

After a long time,something interesting seems for upper sindh during next 24 hours,owing to a western disturbance over northern Pakistan,sending heavy pulses that have potential of causing 'dust-thunderstorm' at isolated places of upper sindh during next 24 hours. This is not a first time that any WD showing its affects on upper sindh however,upper sindh lies in WD zone so this is quite normal. Rainfall will be accompanied by thunderstorms (est: 2-3mms).

Since city has started receiving monsoon rains,owing to a cyclonic circulation that has caused intrusion of strong monsoon currents at lower levels there. Mumbai has got 103.2mm during 4 hours,as according to the time of India.Heavy rains and thunderstorm caused citizens to awaken from sleep. But this is not a end,more monsoon downpours could occur during next 24 to 48 hours.

Owing to a cyclonic circulation at northeast India,Mumbai has been witnessing heavy rains with thunderstorms because cyclonic circulation has increased monsoon currents over there. Overall there is no any effect of this system here in Sindh but this post is just for information purpose only. Presently,Mumbai vicinity has started getting thunderstorm with rain.

We all have heard two terms 'western disturbance' and 'monsoon'.But most from us don't know what they exactly are and how they both differ from each other. Monsoon is a seasonal reversal of winds occurring from June to September. Monsoon occurs for temporary period but is associated with wet summers however,dry winters.On the other hand,western disturbance is extra tropical disturbance/cyclone originating from Mediterranean sea & make its journey towards Pakistan after crossing Iran, and Afghanistan.Unlike monsoon,western disturbance moisture is carried in upper atmosphere & western jet help it to transport to another place,due to which WD have less or negligible convection.But don't be confused,WD in most cases have high convection that leads to flooding rains (usually during interaction with monsoon currents). Unlike,monsoon currents which are usually seen in low levels of atmosphere,WD are usually found in mid & upper levels,in rare cases can b

The following is the rain amounts for different areas of Karachi,as follows: Source:Muhammad Taha Amerjee So far,Karachi had received above normal rains this year.More rains can lead to rising of rivers and lakes & flooding cannot be ruled out. However,most of our parameters are expecting torrential downpours again in Karachi from third week of September.

Karachi received exceptionally heavy rains from the system.However,major cities of Sindh disappointed from the system. This was just because of sudden variations in atmospheric conditions.Models just failed to keep our hopes alive ,as yesterday system was concentrated over Central sindh,instead of it,rains occurred in coastal parts including Karachi yesterday.This could be attributed to climate change. What's next? System is now as weak circulation & is weakening as remnants. But for now,it may cause little bit activity today in Karachi divisions,Thatta and Badin today. Happy Eid Mubarak

As told in last update,thundershowers could develop in lower Sindh (Hyderabad and Karachi divisions).So,chances are at peak right now. But rain intensity might be of varying intensity with amounts ranging between 10-20mm. Warning:-Any storm developing would be capable of causing periods of few heavy spells and as drainage system is worse in Hyderabad and Karachi, it might be flooding.So be careful.

As we all know about the intense monsoonal system (well marked low pressure) which is likely to affect south sindh from tomorrow and remains till Friday either till Saturday. Strong monsoonal currents with increased convection is expected to produce a thunderstorm in Hyderabad and Karachi both tomorrow esp during afternoon hours. Rain intensity may vary depending upon intensity of thunderstorms. Our estimates suggest about 10-20mm in Hyderabad and Karachi tomorrow. However,system will be at peak on Thursday,very heavy rains with severe thunderstorms & windstorms expected in both cities.Rainfall amounts would exceed 50mm on that day,might be more than our imagination. While,the total rain amounts may exceed even 100mm or 150mm.In that case,there will be very high potential for urban flooding. Stay safe and take care of your animals.Don't take them outside during storm.

Most of our analysis including upper and mid levels suggest very stormy weather patterns in Sindh due to a rain maker system (low pressure) at central India.It might hit coastal parts of Sindh on Thursday. Strong monsoon currents expected to penetrate at about 1500m above mean sea level during the period which could extend far 12km above msl causing formations of intense thunderstorms. More on it,a low level instability will trigger the system. Probably,it could be last considerable spell of monsoon for sindh but could be memorable. Fairly widespread Thunderstorms activity associated with heavy rains expected at a number of places of Sindh from Wednesday to Saturday. SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY: FOR SOME PARTS INCLUDING KARACHI, THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORM PEAKS MIGHT REACH 12,000-14,000m above msl ,which could produce very severe winds & thunder/lightning accompanied by moderate to heavy falls. MOST PARTS INCLUDING THATTA , BADIN ,HYDERABAD ARE UNDER RISK OF FLASH FLOOD

The departure of MJO and some other factors are all set to make monsoon break condition over monsoon zones including Pakistan.Monsoon trough will start passing from foothills of Himalaya then,as of now. Before these conditions,weak spell of rain will hinder the increasing temperatures in Sindh esp southeastern sindh.However,it looks like this system is not for lower sindh. Most parts of lower sindh have got below normal rainfall yet. For more updates, stay tuned.

According to our previous update,strong pulses from low pressure system will affect southeastern sindh.So today,southeastern sindh got Thunderstorms associated with moderate to heavy falls. Now,Moderate pulses and western thrust interaction would occur on Wednesday that would produce good Thunderstorms with light to moderate rainfall in most parts of Lower Sindh (including Karachi and Hyderabad). Southeastern Sindh will receive Heavy falls during this period. For more updates stay tuned.

RAIN & THUNDERSTORMS LASHING SOUTHEASTERN SINDH (PARTS OF THARPARKAR). MANY MANY CONGRATULATIONS TO THEM. AS WE TOLD YOU THAT THERE ARE POOR CHANCES FOR HYDERABAD AND KARACHI AND IT HAPPENS.

In monsoons,you must care about thunderstorms and thunderstorms are common during monsoon.First make sure that where you are going for a trip or picnic.Then check weather forecasts of that area if there is severe thunderstorm warning,you should give up from your plan. But if you are in vehicle during thunderstorm.Try to remain inside and do not use mobile phone as it can be cause of lightning struck. Try to use any cap on your head because your hairs may have protons which interact with electrons from cloud could cause a lightning struck over you. A common symptom before lightning strick is your hairs will start standing up to end.This means protons of your hairs are rising up towards electrons from clouds.It means you are in danger/serious threat of lightning strike.

Nowadays, most of illiterate people try to criticise weather experts.One of the rumour that is on trending that 1100mm rain is expected sindh in current spell but when we heard this.we just laughed👏👏for those royals who predicted that. Another misconception is common is criticism on weather experts.Some people were found claiming that why this system don't have potential to cause rain like that of September 2011 either August 2016.The simple answer is : this depends on the strength and range of system and mid tropospheric features of the system that determines how much potential system has.September 2011 system was not a weak system it was very strong system which hits Sindh.However,some of experts claim that it was not natural disaster it was a experiment by Americans project 'HAARP' but we have not the proof. If we talk about August 2016 system that was UAC (upper air cyclonic circulation) which directly approached sindh and caused good rains. At last ,we would like

Thunderstorm is located at northwest/west of Islamabad,is moving northeast,which could cause rain in esp northern parts of Islamabad.

As low pressure approaches Gujarat,which started throwing strong pulses which are causing rains over southeastern sindh and expected to continue till Tuesday/Wednesday. Chances are receded for lower Sindh including Karachi.However , Badin and Mirpurkhas divisions could witness moderate to bit heavy downpours during next 2-3 days. So far,the current system is looking more bright for southeastern sindh and could ease the temperatures there due to rain and scarcity of water will decrease. For now,we are not expecting another spell during last days of July or early August but there are some indications of another spell.Hope that indications come true. However monsoon would be highly active for northern parts of Pakistan.Update for northern Pakistan will be given tomorrow. IN SHAA ALLAH

Hyderabad,Sindh On 2 June 2015,it was strong thundering along with jolting lightning.But nothing happened on that night. It was clear and hot weather on next day.But at evening,clouds started hovering the city and strong dust storm hits.After that Hyderabad had a heavy thundershowers after dust storm that continued for at least more than half hour. PMD reported 35mm of rainfall.

A western disturbance is expected to invade Sindh and intensify at southeastern sindh,due to interaction with eastern currents. GFS expects light showers in lower and central Sindh and heavy showers in south eastern Sindh during 14 to 15/16 June. Changes possible

European Models suggesting a deep depression to develop in Arabian sea brings moisture laden eastern currents or pre monsoon currents in parts of Sindh. Under its influence; Scattered Dust-thundershowers (with strong gusty winds) expected in Sindh from 8/9th June to 10th June. However, GFS expecting a western disturbance for Sindh during same period. It also showing a circulation in Arabian sea which brings pre monsoon currents. Overall,E+W interaction is expected in Sindh during that period, which may produce dust - thundershowers in sindh during same period. Both models are agree to have pre monsoon rains for Sindh during 8 to 10 June. Stay tune

As per expectations,a trough aloft to bring pre monsoon heavy showers in parts of Gujarat from Friday to Sunday. Sindh awaits Pre monsoon rain till 7 June.Then afterwards, a trough could effect sindh and cause showers in most parts of Sindh by 9th June. Stay tuned

Latest thunderstorm map shows intense thunderstorms developments in upper Punjab.

On 6th August 2016,some factors including uac provides strong monsoon currents and lifting mechanism along with instability caused a very strong monsoon development that brought very heavy falls in Hyderabad on 6th August 2016. . . . Around 12:30 or may be 1:00pm,strong thunderclouds started hovering the city and intense thundering started.It rained very heavily and continued with intense speed for more than 1 hour. Around 116mm recorded on that day. That was heaviest rain in Hyderabad in 2016. This below given map shows intense thunderstorms during that time.Core is near or at Hyderabad.

According to LRF convective outlook, pre monsoon convection to cause thunderstorms in parts of Pakistan . The core of the convection (dark red colour) as shown in forecast map,might be over Punjab and adjoining parts. Perhaps,weak convective currents likely to prevail over Sindh during third week of June which will help to trigger afternoon thunderstorms in Sindh .Light showers probable during that period. We can't believe this map right now bc it is highly long range so changes possible. Stay tuned

Here is a look at Bengal of Bengal's thunderstorm outlook map which indicates a presence of intense convection and associated tropical cyclone which will be named as 'MORA'. This storm will generate severe thunderstorms in BOB. Strong convection due to storm will also shift West Bengal of India.West Bengal will witness severe thunderstorms in coming days.

Rain is often said as a blessing but sometimes rain can cause hilarious diseases that are mentioned below: COLD/FLU becomes common during rainy (monsoon period) season. Dengue becomes common due to stagnant water and people can suffer from dengue during monsoon season.Avoid getting close to stagnant water. Mosquitoes due to rain can also cause malaria.Many people suffer from malaria during monsoon season. There are number of diseases which occurs due to rain. To get rid of diseases, avoid getting wet during rain and stay indoors.Stay away from rain water.

If we are concerned with thunderstorm then we are used to understand a term 'convection'.Atmospheric convection is a condition when warm air rises above cold air sustains at surface.Convection is a only way for release of heat.Due to convection,special type of clouds appear namely Cumulus and if Convection is strong then these cumulus clouds posses a vertical development that changes it to cumulonimbus clouds. Here is one commonly heard fact or a saying of elders that afternoon thunderstorm drenches an area more than a newly born evening thunderstorm. As,moisture and instability is a common need of thunderstorms.If a thundercloud is developed during afternoon then during evening instability further increases that causes clouds to further intensify and it can reach at highest peaks. Higher the altitude more the risk of severe thunderstorm.Severe thunderstorm can cause heavy rain,thunder,lightning, and strong gusty winds.Tornadoes can also develop but an additional ingredient

Higher temperature contrast/gradient along Arabian sea,is a first sign for monsoon to onset in Mumbai,due to tej by June 6/7. Coastal parts of Sindh may witness cloudy mornings as somalia currents are also expected to appear in Arabian sea. No any significant event is likely for Sindh during next 4 to 5 days.

Monsoon is a word derived from Arabic word Mausim which means season. Actually monsoon is a seasonal reversal of winds due to surface heating.During summer,Tibet plateau heats up and low pressure develops over there and high pressure develops over south Indian ocean that causes winds to move from high pressure to lower pressure.That's what you should know about monsoons. Here's official and first monsoon update. Tej (tropical easterly jet) that propagates monsoon in all monsoon zones including Pakistan,has set up and is indicating onset of monsoon in Andaman and Nicobar islands. POSITIVE IOD:A MONSOON THRESHOLD: As most models are now certain that positive IOD will develop during monsoon and it will serve good rains as posted in last update. Monsoon likely to onset in Kerala by 29th May. ENSO PHASE MAY REMAINS NEUTRAL HOWEVER FEW MODELS SAY EL NINO WILL REVIVE. Monsoon to hit Sindh by first/second week of July (most probably). Another detailed monsoon watch will be iss

WEATHER ANALYSIS (AS OF NOW) A strong upper level westerly trough aloft present at Afghanistan/Pakistan border.This system may causes some rainfall in gilgit baltistan and Kashmir during next 24 hours.Monsoon is in progress and has advanced towards Andaman and Nicobar islands.It is expected to onset in Kerala by 29th May.Presently, a strong trough aloft is present in bay of Bengal which is equipped with convection and llcc is also present that may intensifies.A shallow trough also passing from Rajasthan (India),causing pre monsoon thunderstorms over there. As of now there are weak westerly systems in vicinity.Some systems may weakens before reaching Pakistan and some systems are expected to reach north Pakistan in coming days. Pre monsoon rains may approach Sindh during June 2017. One factor that is very good for monsoon that is positive IOD which will serve good rains in Sindh (Arabian sea branch). MJO expected to move north Indian,is getting certain according to various models.So

WEATHER SYSTEMS Strong western disturbance is expected to affect northern Pakistan from 3rd April and it might affect till 6/7th April. This system would be accompanied with low pressure with lowest pressure of 998mb (millibars). WEATHER FORECAST Scattered Rain/thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls expected at a number of places of upper Punjab,kpk,FATA,Islamabad and Gilgit Baltistan from 3rd April to 6/7th April.However,rain/thundershowers also expected in south punjab,central and northern balochistan from 3rd and 4th April. Due to this system,temperatures may also decrease in upper parts of Pakistan.

Sindh:- No any considerable weather system is expected in Sindh during April 2017. Mainly hot and dry weather is expected in Sindh inc Karachi. Temperature may reach 41°C or 42°C in Sindh during April 2017. Above normal temperatures are expected in Sindh but coastal parts may have normal temperature due to flow of sea breeze consequently. Punjab:- Westerly disturbances are expected to affect upper Punjab and cause rain with thunderstorms at scattered places of upper Punjab during start and fortnight of April 2017. Mainly hot and dry weather is expected in south and central Punjab during April 2017.Above normal temperatures may prevail in Punjab during April 2017. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa:- Due to some intense westerly disturbances,thunderstorms with some hailstorms expected at kpk during start and fortnight of April 2017.Temperature may remain sustained due to rains.However, normal to slightly above normal temperatures may prevail. FATA:- Due to intrusion of western disturbances,

As,western thrust is expected to affect karachi tonight. We are expecting: 30-35% CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE AT ISOLATED PLACE OF KARACHI OR NEAR KARACHI. Presently, the system is at middle east and affecting Iran,UAE and Saudi Arabia.STRONG CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS PRESENT AT UAE AND SAUDI ARABIA. DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN SINDH.

Since midnight/morning,Parts of UAE had received heavy rains and thunderstorms.NOW,this system is strong over south Iran and producing heavy rains over there. FORECAST THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH PAKISTAN THROUGH BALOCHISTAN AND MOVE TOWARDS UPPER PAKISTAN. WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM Scattered Rain and thunderstorms are expected in south and north balochistan from tonight. - - - - WHAT'S SPECIAL FOR SINDH: Good News KARACHITIES, BE HAPPY.THERE ARE CHANCES OF WEAK DEVELOPMENT AT OR NEAR KARACHI ON 26 MARCH. DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN THE PROVINCE. STAY UPDATED WITH OUR OFFICIAL BLOG