LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS (AS OF 25TH MAY 2017)

WEATHER ANALYSIS (AS OF NOW)

A strong upper level westerly trough aloft present at Afghanistan/Pakistan border.This system may causes some rainfall in gilgit baltistan and Kashmir during next 24 hours.Monsoon is in progress and has advanced towards Andaman and Nicobar islands.It is expected to onset in Kerala by 29th May.Presently, a strong trough aloft is present in bay of Bengal which is equipped with convection and llcc is also present that may intensifies.A shallow trough also passing from Rajasthan (India),causing pre monsoon thunderstorms over there. As of now there are weak westerly systems in vicinity.Some systems may weakens before reaching Pakistan and some systems are expected to reach north Pakistan in coming days.

Pre monsoon rains may approach Sindh during June 2017.

One factor that is very good for monsoon that is positive IOD which will serve good rains in Sindh (Arabian sea branch).

MJO expected to move north Indian,is getting certain according to various models.So far,we can expect some tropical activities in Arabian sea.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Difference between western disturbances and monsoon

We all have heard two terms 'western disturbance' and 'monsoon'.But most from us don't know what they exactly are and how they both differ from each other. Monsoon is a seasonal reversal of winds occurring from June to September. Monsoon occurs for temporary period but is associated with wet summers however,dry winters.On the other hand,western disturbance is extra tropical disturbance/cyclone originating from Mediterranean sea & make its journey towards Pakistan after crossing Iran, and Afghanistan.Unlike monsoon,western disturbance moisture is carried in upper atmosphere & western jet help it to transport to another place,due to which WD have less or negligible convection.But don't be confused,WD in most cases have high convection that leads to flooding rains (usually during interaction with monsoon currents). Unlike,monsoon currents which are usually seen in low levels of atmosphere,WD are usually found in mid & upper levels,in rare cases can b
Read more