La Niña WATCH remains, while strong negative Indian Ocean Dipole continues Despite some cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean surface waters, ENSO indicators remain neutral and well shy of La Niña thresholds. In contrast, a strong negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event continues, with ocean temperature well above average in the eastern Indian Ocean and below average near Africa. All international climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate the negative IOD will persist until the end of spring, which historically has brought increased rainfall to southern Australia. Sea surface temperatures have cooled slightly in the tropical Pacific over the past fortnight. Some atmospheric indicators have shifted slightly towards La Niña thresholds, but all remain within neutral bounds. All climate models indicate more cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean is likely, but only two of eight models exceed La Niña thresholds for an extended period. A La Niña WATCH (indicat...
OBSERVATION A LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST MAHARASHTRA. PRESENTLY, EASTERN JET IS UNFAVOURABLE FOR SINDH WHICH WILL KEEP ALL BAY OF BENGAL SYSTEMS AWAY FROM SINDH.ACCORDING TO LATEST ECMWF, WESTERN DISTURBANCE OF MODERATE INTENSITY IS AFFECTING CENTRAL PARTS OF PAKISTAN ON 25 SEPTEMBER. Western disturbance affecting central parts of Pakistan on 23 September... TROPICAL ACTIVITY UPDATE SST IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN HIS ABOVE 26 ° C WHICH IS FAVOURABLE FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY DURING FIRST OR SECOND WEEK OF OCTOBER.CURRENT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN IS 10m/s.VERTICAL WINDSHEAR 10m/s OR BELOW 10m/s IS FAVOURABLE FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN CENTRAL INDIAN OCEAN IS 30 TO 35m/s WHICH IS UNFAVOURABLE. WITHDRAWAL OF MONSOON THERE ARE SOME FACTORS WHICH ARE HINTING WITHDRAWAL OF MONSOON FROM SINDH.THERE IS LACK OF EASTERN JET WHICH WILL KEEP ALL BOB SYSTEMS AWAY FROM SINDH. INDEED 'ALMIGHTY ALLAH' KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT).....
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