SINDH WEATHER

Weather Systems Dry air penetrating in most parts of the country.A weak western disturbance is over north Pakistan. Weather Forecast for next 24 hours Rain/Thundershowers expected in northern parts of Pakistan.Mainly dry weather expected in rest of the country. Today's Lowest MinimumTemperatures :     Kalat 01°C, Kalam, Skardu 02°C, Astore 03°C, Quetta 04°C.

Low pressure,now located at 14.09°N 89.89°E, with winds of 50-55 km/hour, is expected to intensify in to depression during next 24-48 hours. Our view is that it will soon further intensify in to tropical cyclone due to low wind shear in east bay of Bengal where the low pressure is moving. According to gfs it will move westward after moving north eastwards where it will intensify in to tropical cyclone .Then it will hit odisha as a tropical depression/tropical storm.

Dry weather expected in sindh during next 24 hours. - Expecting windy weather with cool breeze in parts of sindh during morning time. -NO ANY RAINFALL ACTIVITY POSSIBLE IN SINDH.

Monsoon withdraw line passing from Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka.

Western trough '04' affecting northern parts of Pakistan.The original system is over Afghanistan and adjoining parts with its trough over north pakistan at 500 level. There is good amount of moisture in northern parts of pakistan. Under the influence of these systems; Rain/Thundershowers expected at some parts of gilgit baltistan,FATA,Kashmir, upper and central punjab during next 24 hours. For more updates, keep visiting our blog. INDEED 'ALMIGHTY ALLAH' KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT).....

Below given map showing thunderstorms affecting southeast and eastern parts of sindh. Track of these thunderstorms also shown in map.

A cyclonic circulation bringing some moist currents in southeast parts of sindh while some weak moist currents in lower and central sindh.A  warm front also affecting southeast parts of sindh, due to cold moist winds from cyclonic circulation. Some moderate falls are likely to occur during this spell. Current satellite image also showing strong thunderstorms in Southeast parts of sindh. GOOD NEWS FOR LOWER SINDH ECMWF showing moist winds affecting lower sindh from tomorrow.Therefore , possibility of weak spell is very high. INDEED 'ALMIGHTY ALLAH' KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT)....

A Cyclonic circulation over eastern India is likely to move towards Gujarat.Under the influence of this system, moist currents are likely to penetrate in Sindh, producing light to moderate rainfall in different parts of Sindh. Southeast and coastal parts are expected to receive moderate rainfall while lower and central sindh will receive light to a bit moderate rainfall from Monday to Wednesday. But remember, no any heavy rainfall is expected from this spell. Dust storms also possible during this spell. Indeed 'Almighty Allah' knows the best (No Doubt)......

Monsoon has completely withdrawn from the sindh province. Now the tropical activity season is ongoing. Tropical cyclones develop during pre monsoon and post monsoon when monsoon trough brings good moisture at low and mid tropspheric levels and also provide cluster of thunderstorms.  If other factors like sst (sea surface temperature) is high (above 27 C) and low windshear is available tropical cyclones develop and affect the coastal parts. TROPICAL ACTIVITY UPDATE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE;-Sea surface temperature is above 26C which is favourable for tropical activity. MOISTURE AT LOW LEVEL AND MID TROPOSPHERE LEVEL;- There is good amount of moisture in central arabian sea at low level but less moisture available in north and south arabian sea.Although there is more need of moisture at low level. Good moisture available in east arabian sea at mid troposphere levels while negligible amount of moisture available in north arabian sea at mid troposphere level, which is unfavourable

ECMWF a reliable weather model , is showing rain and thunderstorms (with isolated very heavy falls) over central parts of pakistan during next 24 hours. According to latest ecmwf. isolated heavy even very heavy falls are likely to occur in FATA (Chagmalai , Jandola)  and  KP (Kotkai) during next 24 hours.However, rain and thunderstorm with some heavy falls are likely to occur in Sargodha , DI Khan , gilgit baltistan and kashmir during next 24 hours. WEATHER SYSTEMS A Western disturbance '04' is likely to intensify tomorrow due to high moisture availability but its affect will be seen only in  central and some upper parts of pakistan during next 24 hours.Dry air mass penetrating southern parts of the country. Next Weather Outlook Rainfall will evacuate from central parts of pakistan from Sunday. Rainfall Last 24 hours..... Punjab:  Murree 32, Sialkot (Cantt) 22, Bhakkar 20, Mianwali 04, Multan 03,   KP : D.I.Khan 03,  Balakot 02,  Kashmir:  Kotli   02. Today'

OBSERVATION A LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST MAHARASHTRA. PRESENTLY, EASTERN JET IS UNFAVOURABLE FOR SINDH WHICH WILL KEEP ALL BAY OF BENGAL SYSTEMS AWAY FROM SINDH.ACCORDING TO LATEST ECMWF, WESTERN DISTURBANCE OF MODERATE INTENSITY IS AFFECTING CENTRAL PARTS OF PAKISTAN ON 25 SEPTEMBER. Western disturbance affecting central parts of Pakistan on 23 September... TROPICAL ACTIVITY UPDATE SST IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN HIS ABOVE 26 ° C   WHICH IS FAVOURABLE FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY DURING FIRST OR SECOND WEEK OF OCTOBER.CURRENT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN IS 10m/s.VERTICAL WINDSHEAR 10m/s OR BELOW 10m/s IS FAVOURABLE FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN CENTRAL INDIAN OCEAN IS 30 TO 35m/s WHICH IS UNFAVOURABLE. WITHDRAWAL OF MONSOON THERE ARE SOME FACTORS WHICH ARE HINTING WITHDRAWAL OF MONSOON FROM SINDH.THERE IS LACK OF EASTERN JET WHICH WILL KEEP ALL BOB SYSTEMS AWAY FROM SINDH. INDEED 'ALMIGHTY ALLAH' KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT).....

WEATHER SYSTEMS A WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS AFFECTING NORTHERN PAKISTAN AND LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING EID HOLIDAYS.ARABIAN SEA CURRENTS PENETRATING UPPER AND SOME EASTERN PARTS OF PAKISTAN.DRY WINDS FROM IRAN PENETRATING MOST PARTS OF SINDH. EXPECTED WEATHER SCATTERED RAIN/THUNDERSHOWERS (ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTY WINDS) EXPECTED IN KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA,FATA.NORTHERN PUNJAB,GILGIT BALTISTAN AND KASHMIR DURING MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY.SOME PASSING CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED IN SINDH. GFS EXPECTING LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS IN NORTHERN PAKISTAN ON THURSDAY. INDEED "ALMIGHTY ALLAH" KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT)......

A DEPRESSION WHICH IS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS IN PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA,IS TRACKED TO MOVE RAJASTHAN IN COMING DAYS AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE OR UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (UAC).FEW PARAMETERS INDICATING THAT WEAK LOW PRESSURE AS WEAK UAC MAY MOVES IN SINDH,PRODUCING FEW SHOWERS IN PARTS OF SINDH  IN LAST WEEK OF AUGUST.SOME PARAMETERS LIKE CMC ALSO AGREE WITH THIS FORECAST. WE ARE EXPECTING ONE MORE SYSTEM TO FORM AND MOVE IN SINDH DURING FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER. FORECAST FOR 19 - 21 AUGUST FEEBLE WD CIRCULATION AS WEAK TROUGH LIKELY TO RESIST IN UPPER PARTS OF PAKISTAN,PRODUCING FEW SHOWERS IN UPPER PUNJAB,KPK AND FATA. SPECIAL UPDATE THERE IS NO ANY MONSOON WIND  IN ENTIRE PAKISTAN. WHAT IS THE REASON? •INCESSANT DEVELOPING TYPHOONS IN PACIFIC OCEAN ABSORBING ALL MONSOON MOISTURE. INDEED 'ALMIGHTY ALLAH' KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT)....

A less marked low pressure is seen over uttar Pradesh (India). Another low pressure is located in bay of Bengal and according to several models,it will intensify in to well marked low pressure area.Western disturbance (WD) as trough present over some eastern and central parts of Pakistan. •rain of light to moderate (to a bit heavy) intensity expected in northern and few central parts of pakistan during next 24-48 hours.

A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM AND MARITIME TROPICAL STEAMY AIR RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING HEAVIER RECORD BREAKING RAINFALL IN MANY PARTS OF LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI . FOLLOWING RAIN AMOUNTS RECORDED ON SATURDAY,13 AUGUST: •696.468 mm NEAR BROWNFIELDS,LOUISIANA. •667.004mm IN MONTICELLO, LOUISIANA. •580.136mm IN GLOSTER,MISSISSIPPI. •547.624mm NEAR JACKSON,LOUISIANA. •486.156mm IN BATON ROUGE,LOUISIANA (RECORD DAILY RAINFALL ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY) •366.522mm IN PANAMA CITY,FLORIDA. WIDESPREAD DAMAGE REPORTED FROM THESE AREAS.MANY PARTS ARE SEVERE INUNDATED UNDER WATER.

La Niña WATCH remains, while strong negative Indian Ocean Dipole continues Despite some cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean surface waters, ENSO indicators remain neutral and well shy of La Niña thresholds. In contrast, a strong negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event continues, with ocean temperature well above average in the eastern Indian Ocean and below average near Africa. All international climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate the negative IOD will persist until the end of spring, which historically has brought increased rainfall to southern Australia. Sea surface temperatures have cooled slightly in the tropical Pacific over the past fortnight. Some atmospheric indicators have shifted slightly towards La Niña thresholds, but all remain within neutral bounds. All climate models indicate more cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean is likely, but only two of eight models exceed La Niña thresholds for an extended period. A La Niña WATCH (indicating a 50% chance of La N