SINDH WEATHER

A Cyclonic circulation over eastern India is likely to move towards Gujarat.Under the influence of this system, moist currents are likely to penetrate in Sindh, producing light to moderate rainfall in different parts of Sindh. Southeast and coastal parts are expected to receive moderate rainfall while lower and central sindh will receive light to a bit moderate rainfall from Monday to Wednesday. But remember, no any heavy rainfall is expected from this spell. Dust storms also possible during this spell. Indeed 'Almighty Allah' knows the best (No Doubt)......

Monsoon has completely withdrawn from the sindh province. Now the tropical activity season is ongoing. Tropical cyclones develop during pre monsoon and post monsoon when monsoon trough brings good moisture at low and mid tropspheric levels and also provide cluster of thunderstorms.  If other factors like sst (sea surface temperature) is high (above 27 C) and low windshear is available tropical cyclones develop and affect the coastal parts. TROPICAL ACTIVITY UPDATE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE;-Sea surface temperature is above 26C which is favourable for tropical activity. MOISTURE AT LOW LEVEL AND MID TROPOSPHERE LEVEL;- There is good amount of moisture in central arabian sea at low level but less moisture available in north and south arabian sea.Although there is more need of moisture at low level. Good moisture available in east arabian sea at mid troposphere levels while negligible amount of moisture available in north arabian sea at mid troposphere level, which is unfavourable

ECMWF a reliable weather model , is showing rain and thunderstorms (with isolated very heavy falls) over central parts of pakistan during next 24 hours. According to latest ecmwf. isolated heavy even very heavy falls are likely to occur in FATA (Chagmalai , Jandola)  and  KP (Kotkai) during next 24 hours.However, rain and thunderstorm with some heavy falls are likely to occur in Sargodha , DI Khan , gilgit baltistan and kashmir during next 24 hours. WEATHER SYSTEMS A Western disturbance '04' is likely to intensify tomorrow due to high moisture availability but its affect will be seen only in  central and some upper parts of pakistan during next 24 hours.Dry air mass penetrating southern parts of the country. Next Weather Outlook Rainfall will evacuate from central parts of pakistan from Sunday. Rainfall Last 24 hours..... Punjab:  Murree 32, Sialkot (Cantt) 22, Bhakkar 20, Mianwali 04, Multan 03,   KP : D.I.Khan 03,  Balakot 02,  Kashmir:  Kotli   02. Today'

OBSERVATION A LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST MAHARASHTRA. PRESENTLY, EASTERN JET IS UNFAVOURABLE FOR SINDH WHICH WILL KEEP ALL BAY OF BENGAL SYSTEMS AWAY FROM SINDH.ACCORDING TO LATEST ECMWF, WESTERN DISTURBANCE OF MODERATE INTENSITY IS AFFECTING CENTRAL PARTS OF PAKISTAN ON 25 SEPTEMBER. Western disturbance affecting central parts of Pakistan on 23 September... TROPICAL ACTIVITY UPDATE SST IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN HIS ABOVE 26 ° C   WHICH IS FAVOURABLE FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY DURING FIRST OR SECOND WEEK OF OCTOBER.CURRENT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN IS 10m/s.VERTICAL WINDSHEAR 10m/s OR BELOW 10m/s IS FAVOURABLE FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN CENTRAL INDIAN OCEAN IS 30 TO 35m/s WHICH IS UNFAVOURABLE. WITHDRAWAL OF MONSOON THERE ARE SOME FACTORS WHICH ARE HINTING WITHDRAWAL OF MONSOON FROM SINDH.THERE IS LACK OF EASTERN JET WHICH WILL KEEP ALL BOB SYSTEMS AWAY FROM SINDH. INDEED 'ALMIGHTY ALLAH' KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT).....

WEATHER SYSTEMS A WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS AFFECTING NORTHERN PAKISTAN AND LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING EID HOLIDAYS.ARABIAN SEA CURRENTS PENETRATING UPPER AND SOME EASTERN PARTS OF PAKISTAN.DRY WINDS FROM IRAN PENETRATING MOST PARTS OF SINDH. EXPECTED WEATHER SCATTERED RAIN/THUNDERSHOWERS (ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTY WINDS) EXPECTED IN KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA,FATA.NORTHERN PUNJAB,GILGIT BALTISTAN AND KASHMIR DURING MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY.SOME PASSING CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED IN SINDH. GFS EXPECTING LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS IN NORTHERN PAKISTAN ON THURSDAY. INDEED "ALMIGHTY ALLAH" KNOWS THE BEST (NO DOUBT)......